UPSC NDA I 2010 Mathematics Paper

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Question : 112 of 120
 
Marks: +1, -0
An observed event B can occur after one of the three events A1,A2,A3. If P(A1)=P(A2)=0.4,P(A3)=0.2 and P(B∣A1)=0.25,P(B∣A2)=0.4 P(B∣A3)=0.125, what is the probability of A1 after observing B ?
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